MarketView for June 2

MarketView for Monday June 2
 

 

MarketView

 

Events defining the day's trading activity on Wall Street

 

Lauren Rudd

 

Monday, June 2, 2008

 

 

Dow Jones Industrial Average

12,503.82

q

-134.50

-1.06%

Dow Jones Transportation Average

5,376.51

q

-61.03

-1.12%

Dow Jones Utilities Average

515.88

q

-5.77

-1.11%

NASDAQ Composite

2,491.53

q

-31.13

-1.23%

S&P 500

1,385.67

q

-14.71

-1.05%

 

 

Summary

  

The pressure began to be felt even before Wall Street opened, particularly for financial stocks, as European markets fell after British mortgage lender Bradford & Bingley indicated that the UK mortgage market was deteriorating sharply.

Wall Street did not disappoint. Stock prices moved sharply lower on Monday as a result of renewed fears the credit crunch has yet to run its course after Standard & Poor's downgraded the debt ratings of three major league investment banks and Wachovia, the fourth-largest domestic bank, ousted its chief executive.

 

Standard & Poor's cut the credit ratings of Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley, stating that the outlook for the large investment banks was now mostly negative. The rating agency also warned that it may cut Wachovia’s rating after the ouster of CEO Ken Thompson, following growing legal troubles and loan losses tied to the purchase of a big mortgage lender just before the housing market imploded.

 

S&P's action rocked global markets already smarting from a stark warning on the state of UK housing from British lender Bradford & Bingley, as it tumbled into a loss for the first four months of the year and had to secure funding from a private equity group.

 

S&P's move signaled that financial institutions, which have written down more than $350 billion in losses related to subprime mortgages globally, are still vulnerable. As a result, Lehman Brothers ended the day down $2.98, or 8.10 percent, to close at $33.83, Morgan Stanley fell $1.13, or 2.55 percent, to close at $43.10, while Merrill Lynch ended the day down $1.30, or  2.96 percent to close at $42.62.

 

Wachovia said it would replace CEO Ken Thompson following growing legal troubles and loan losses tied to the purchase of a big mortgage lender before the housing market imploded. Wachovia's shares fell $0.40, or 1.68 percent, to close at $23.40 on concerns the move could signal more bad news ahead for the bank, which has seen its stock tumble 58 percent over the past year.

 

In another executive shake-up, Washington Mutual, a nationwide bank and home lender slammed by the mortgage slump, said it would strip chief executive Kerry Killinger of his title of chairman next month.

Meanwhile, the day’s economic data also helped to send stock prices lower. Manufacturing contracted in May for the fourth consecutive month and inflation pressures surged to their highest in four years, heightening fears the economy could be sliding toward stagflation.

 

Therefore, it was no real surprise that when the closing bell rang, the three major equity indexes had fallen about 1 percent, breaking a four-day streak of gains for the S&P 500 and NASDAQ. The equities retreat fueled a broad rally in government bonds, sending benchmark yields down by the greatest amount since last March.

 

Technology shares, which have been top performers over the past three months, also fell on economic concerns and as investors locked in profits. In May, technology overtook financials as the largest sector of the S&P 500. IBM fell $2.07, or 1.60 percent, to closer at $127.36 and was the top drag on the Dow.

 

Energy-sensitive airline shares slid as the price of oil edged higher again after a brief respite last week. At the same time, industrial conglomerates, sensitive both to the price of oil and concerns about the economy, also lost ground. 3M Company ended the day down $1.31, or 1.69 percent, to close at $76.25.

 

General Motors was a bright spot, gaining $0.34, or 1.99 percent, to close at $17.44 after the weekly business newspaper Barron's said shares of the U.S. automaker could triple over the next few years.

 

Economic Data Points To Slowing Economy

 

Manufacturing contracted in May for the fourth consecutive month and inflation pressures surged to their highest in four years, with Wall Street now fearing that the economy could be sliding into a period of stagflation.

 

The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) report on national factory activity fueled concerns about rising prices in a weak economy. According to the ISM, its index of manufacturing rose in May, to 49.6 from April's 48.6, slightly above Street expectations. However, it remained below the level of 50, signaling contraction.

 

ISM report showed a worrying trend for inflation, with its index of prices paid jumping to 87.0, the highest since April 2004, from 84.5 in April.

 

Inflation was also a concern in Europe. Sky-high fuel and food prices put a damper on finance ministers' celebration in Frankfurt of the European Central Bank's 10th birthday, a milestone in Europe's monetary union.

 

The contraction in the May ISM index was the fifth in six months. However, the weak dollar has mitigated the damage to the factory sector this year by boosting exports. The ISM index of new export orders rose to 59.5, the highest since May 2004, when it was at 60.0. This was up from April's reading of 57.5.

 

This year's manufacturing downturn is the worst since the five months of ISM contraction in the February-to-June 2003 period and comes as the deepest housing slump since the Depression has weakened the broader economy.

 

A separate report showed construction spending fell less than expected in April. Construction spending fell 0.4 percent in April on continued deterioration in the residential sector, but outside of home building, private spending rose for the third straight month. This bolstered the argument that the economy is weak but may not be in recession.

 

Treasury securities, which perform better during slow economic times, gave up some ground immediately after the ISM report but subsequently resumed their march higher, helped by weaker stocks.

 

FedEx To Drop Kinko’s Name – Take A Charge – Raise The Dividend

 

FedEx announced on Monday that it plans to drop the Kinko's name on its copy and office service stores and book an $891 million charge for the quarter that ended Saturday. The charge relates to the value of the Kinko's name and a write-down of the value of its acquisition of the brand. The charge, which works out to $2.22 a share, was not part of FedEx's earnings forecast. The company said it will change the name of its FedEx Kinko's stores to FedEx Office over the next several years.

 

The company early last month cut its outlook to $1.45 to $1.50 per share, down from $1.60 to $1.80, because of increasing fuel costs. FedEx reports its financial results for the fiscal fourth quarter June 18.

 

The name change is among a series of recent moves the company has made since it acquired the Kinko's copy chain in 2004 for $2.4 billion.

 

Earlier this year, the company reduced future capital commitments by slowing the rate of expansion from about 300 locations in fiscal year 2008 to about 70 in fiscal 2009.

 

Also Monday, FedEx's board declared a quarterly cash dividend of 11 cents per share, an increase of 1 cent over the 10 cent quarterly dividend that has been paid since July 2007. The new dividend is payable July 1 to stockholders of record at the close of business June 13.