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MarketView
Events defining the day's trading activity on Wall Street
Lauren Rudd
Friday, July 18, 2008
Summary Technology stocks fell on
Friday and drove the NASDAQ down one percent on disappointing earnings
from Google and Microsoft, while Citigroup's smaller-than-expected loss
sent the Dow Jones industrial average higher and helped keep the broader
market near the unchanged mark. Nevertheless, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ snapped a
six-week losing streak. The Dow ended four weeks of losses as financial
stocks rallied after the government outlined a plan to shore up mortgage
finance companies Fannie Mae and Freddie and the SEC announced rules to
curb short selling. Reassuring quarterly results from key banks also fed
the week's rally, with Citigroup capping a series of closely watched
scorecards from Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase that exceeded estimates.
Adding to the positive environment was the largest weekly drop ever in
oil prices. Despite their weekly gain, tech stocks ended the week
on a downward note. Google's stock fell almost 10 percent, its largest
one-day percentage drop since it went public in 2004. Microsoft saw its
share price fall 6 percent a day after the tech bellwethers' quarterly
results fell short of expectations. Regional banks, many of which report earnings next
week, were among the top sector drags on the S&P 500, suggesting
investor worry that the credit crisis has not run its course for some of
the less diversified, smaller banks. The S&P Regional Banks Index fell
0.8 percent. Citigroup ended the day up $1.38, or 7.68 percent, to
close at $19.35 after the Dow component reported a smaller-than-expected
$2.5 billion loss and said it would keep cutting costs and getting rid
of risky or poorly performing assets. Among the techs, a wider-than-expected loss by chip
maker Advanced Micro added to concerns about the outlook for the
technology sector. Google's stock fell $52.12, or 9.77 percent, to close
at $481.32, while Microsoft ended the day down $1.66, or 6.03 percent,
to close at $25.86. IBM helped out the Dow as its shares ended the day
up $3.37, or 2.66 percent, to close at $129.89. For the week, the Dow rose 3.5 percent, its best week
in three months, the NASDAQ was up 1.9 percent and the S&P 500 was up
1.7 percent. With earnings season now in full flow, look for
second-quarter S&P 500 earnings to drop 17 percent. If second-quarter
earnings end up being lower, it will be the fourth consecutive quarter
of negative growth for the S&P 500, the longest losing streak in six
years. Oil prices fell on Friday, helping to cushion the
market's decline. High fuel costs have been adding to concerns about
consumer spending and corporate profits. Crude for August delivery
settled at down 41 cents per barrel at $128.88.
Crude prices Boost Schlumberger Schlumberger kicked off the petroleum sector's
midyear earnings reporting season on a strong note Friday, with about a
13 percent increase in earnings as its customers search frantically for
new sources of crude and natural gas. Unless the global economy goes into the tank,
Schlumberger said it expects continued brisk spending on exploration and
production as energy companies try to benefit from high commodity
prices. "At the half year, the uncertainty around the
direction of natural gas drilling in The company, a bellwether oilfield services
contractor, said its net income came in at $1.42 billion, or $1.16 per
share, as compared to $1.26 billion, or $1.02 per share, a year ago.
Revenues increased to $6.75 billion from $5.64 billion a year earlier.
For the first six months of 2008, Schlumberger said its net income was
$2.76 billion, or $2.25 a share, up from $2.43 billion, or $1.98 a
share, for the same period a year ago. Sales rose to $13 billion from
$11 billion. Schlumberger said its oilfield
services arm posted revenue of $6.1 billion in the period, up 22 percent
from a year ago. Sales rose 39 percent in Latin America, 28 percent in
Europe, Africa and the former In North America, revenue was up 7 percent
year-over-year, but results were hurt somewhat by a significant seasonal
slowdown in A busy oilfield bodes well for outfits like
Schlumberger and rival Halliburton Co., which provide technology,
equipment and other services to help oil and natural gas companies find
and tap hydrocarbon reservoirs. Schlumberger ended the day up $3.77, or 3.90 percent,
to close at $100.55. Its share price has traded in a range of $72.30 to
$114.84 during the past year.
Fed's Stern supports early rate hikes The Federal Reserve can not wait until financial and
housing markets stabilize before raising interest rates, Minneapolis Fed
President Gary Stern said in an interview with Bloomberg on Friday. Stern, a voter on the policy-setting Federal Open
Market Committee this year, said that "headline inflation is clearly too
high," and could feed through to core prices. "We're pretty well positioned for the downside risks
we might encounter from here ... I worry a little bit more about the
prospects for inflation," he said.
Freddie Mac To Sell Stock Despite protestations to the contrary, Freddie Mac
has decided that it might need additional capital after all and is going
to some lengths to ensure the availability of such as it won approval
from regulators on Friday to sell the stock needed to overcome mounting
losses. The Wall Street Journal indicated on Friday that the mortgage
finance company might seek to raise as much as $10 billion. The approval, meanwhile, clears the way for the
company to fulfill its promise in May to raise $5.5 billion to bolster
its balance sheet, allowing it to continue its support of the deflating
Freddie Mac in its filing said it expects to "take
actions" to maintain its required capital, which has been eaten away by
rising defaults among the trillions of dollars of mortgages that the
company guarantees. A spokeswoman later said the company had no
immediate plans to raise capital, reducing fears the company would mint
a massive number of new shares and dilute existing shareholders. Lawmakers and regulators increasingly have come to
rely on Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae to stabilize the worst housing
downturn since the Great Depression by buying loans from lenders and
providing a dependable source of mortgage finance. Investors have been
concerned for weeks that the two companies would need expansive amounts
of capital to offset burgeoning losses from delinquent borrowers and
record foreclosures. Freddie Mac said it is not under any mandate to raise
more than the $5.5 billion, and that expected second quarter financial
results suggest it will have enough capital. Its safety and soundness
regulator, the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, said it
was pleased with Freddie Mac's registration and its commitment to
capital was appropriate. Investors have rushed to sell shares in Freddie Mac
and Fannie Mae in recent weeks amid concern of shareholder dilution. The
plunging stock prices means the companies would have to sell a greater
number shares to raise the same amount of capital. The timing of the sale of shares, which will include
common and preferred stock, depends on market conditions and approval by
Freddie Mac directors, a Freddie Mac spokesman said. Dealers were
gauging investor interest on Friday, an investor said. Over the past two days, shares of Freddie Mac have
recovered some of the deep losses they suffered last week. The recovery
follows a hastily arranged plan by the Treasury and Federal Reserve to
backstop it and Fannie Mae with greater borrowing abilities and the
possibility of an investment by the Lawmakers also resisted a plan to exclude any debt
incurred from the rescue plan against the federal debt limit, which
Congress is expected to soon increase to $10.615 trillion from $9.815
trillion. Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae
raise money for housing by selling debt cheaply, thanks to an implied
guarantee from the government, and then use the proceeds to buy
mortgages from lenders. They repackage the loans as mortgage-backed
securities with their guarantee and sell them to investors or hold them
in their $1.5 trillion portfolios.
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MarketView for July 18
MarketView for Friday July 18