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MarketView
Events defining the day's trading activity on Wall Street
Lauren Rudd
Thursday, May 10, 2012
Summary
Stock index futures fell sharply on Thursday evening
as JPMorgan Chase dumbfounded Wall Street with news that its chief
investment office had incurred "significant mark-to-market losses" that
it said could "easily get worse." JPMorgan's shares fell nearly 7 percent to $38.05 in
after-hours trading and dragged down shares across the entire banking
sector. Its executives called an extraordinary conference call with
analysts at 5 p.m. EDT where Chief Executive Jamie Dimon said
"egregious" mistakes had been made. The news from JPMorgan comes at a difficult juncture
for the stock market as investors wrestle with heightened concerns about
Europe's debt crisis and signs are emerging that the U.S. economic
recovery may be starting to slow. S&P 500 futures fell 11.6 points and were below fair
value, a formula that evaluates pricing by taking into account interest
rates, dividends and time to expiration of the contract. Nasdaq 100
futures fell 16.75 points. If there is nothing to reassure investors between
now and the start of trading on Friday the weakness will likely to spill
over into the cash market. The other banks were not immune. Bank of America
fell 2.9 percent to $7.48 and Goldman Sachs was down 2.5 percent to
$103.65, while Citigroup saw a loss of 3.9 percent to $29.45. The Chief Investment Office is the arm of the bank
that JPMorgan has said it uses to make broad bets to hedge its
portfolios of individual holdings, such as loans to speculative-grade
companies. The news came after a lackluster day for stocks. The
Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 eked out a modest gain but
a disappointing outlook from Cisco Systems capped gains and sent the
Nasdaq into negative territory. The Dow's modest rise broke a six-day
losing streak for the blue-chip average. But the S&P 500 could not hold
enough gains to close above its April low. Still, the S&P has rebounded
after falling to a two-month low near 1,340 on Wednesday. Cisco lost 10.5 percent to $16.81, its largest
percentage decline since February 2011, making it the heaviest drag on
the market. The network equipment maker forecast profits below Wall
Street's estimates, sparking concerns about technology spending. In a positive development, euro-zone officials said
the bloc's countries are prepared to keep financing Greece until the
country forms a new government. The latest uncertainty surrounding Greece and the
euro zone's sovereign debt crisis helped spark a drop in the S&P 500 in
five of the past seven sessions, sending the benchmark index down 4
percent. While the region's difficulties persisted with the political
gridlock in Greece, investors used the market's declines as a buying
opportunity. The CBOE VIX Volatility Index fell 6.2 percent to
18.83. This week, the VIX closed above 20 for the first time in a month
in a sign of growing caution. The number of Americans applying for jobless
benefits fell last week, but from an upwardly revised figure from the
previous week. The report follows last month's nonfarm payrolls report,
which showed weak employment growth in April. Signs of softness in the economy recently have led
some investors to err on the side of caution and cut back on sectors
exposed to the vicissitudes of the economic cycle. With 449 of the S&P 500 companies reporting results
through Thursday morning, 66.4 percent exceeded estimates, according to
Thomson Reuters data, compared with more than 80 percent at the start of
earnings season. Approximately 6.75 billion changed hands on the
three major equity exchanges, just above the 50-day moving average of
6.65 billion.
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MarketView for May 10
MarketView for Thursday, May 10