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MarketView
Events defining the day's trading activity on Wall Street
Lauren Rudd
Wednesday, May 2, 2012
Summary
The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500
worked their way lower on Wednesday as data indicated that private
sector hiring fell far more than expected in April, sparking concerns
that Friday's jobs report will also disappoint. An ADP report indicated that private employers added
119,000 jobs in April, well short of the 177,000 expected. That sparked
market rumors that Friday's payrolls data will show that the economy
added just 125,000 to 150,000 jobs last month. The report came on the heels of more glum news from
Europe. Euro zone factory activity contracted again last month, with the
purchasing managers index, seen as a measure of how the economy will
fare, falling to its lowest level since June 2009. Energy was the worst performer among the 10 major
S&P sectors, due in no small part to a 14.6 percent drop in the shares
of Chesapeake Energy to $16.74. Chesapeake was the most actively traded
stock on the Big Board, hit by disappointing quarterly results and as
Reuters reported a new disclosure about business interests of the
company's chairman. For Chesapeake Energy, it was the company's busiest
trading day ever, with 145.3 million shares changing hands across all
exchanges. Chesapeake reported quarterly earnings that disappointed
investors, and analysts pointed to higher-than-expected output of
low-priced natural gas, even as the company sought to cut production. Also, Reuters reported that Chesapeake's chairman
and chief executive, Aubrey McClendon, ran a $200 million hedge fund on
the side that traded in the same commodities Chesapeake produces. The
company said Tuesday it would replace McClendon as chairman. After the bell, shares of Green Mountain Coffee
Roasters fell 40 percent. The company slashed its full-year sales
forecast after demand for its K-Cup coffee refills fell well below Wall
Street expectations. Adding to the negative tone on Wednesday, new orders
for factory goods in March recorded their largest decline in three
years, even though they slightly topped forecasts. Intel continued to march higher, hitting its highest
point since 2004. Traders see continued flows into large-cap technology
stocks as a bullish sign. Many investors consider Intel, which closed up
0.8 percent at $29.18, to be undervalued. Home builder shares were also higher on Wednesday. A
good example came in the form of shares in Pulte Group, the second
largest domestic homebuilder, which rose 2.4 percent to $10.27. Traders cited an argument between two democratic
congressmen and the Federal Housing Finance Agency on forgiving mortgage
principal as a sign that calls for such measures could gain traction. Among other companies reporting results, CVS
Caremark rose 2.7 percent to $45.92 after the drugstore operator and
pharmacy benefits manager posted a sharp rise in first-quarter sales and
raised its earnings guidance. American Eagle Outfitters was up 16.8 percent to
$20.90 as the teen clothing retailer raised its profit forecast. Of the 350 S&P 500 companies reporting results
through Wednesday morning, 70 percent have topped analysts' estimates,
according to Thomson Reuters data. Ascena will buy Charming Shoppes in an all-cash
deal. Charming ended the day up 23.9 percent to $7.31 as the most
actively traded Nasdaq stock, while Ascena was up 10.4 percent to close
at $21.06. Approximately 6.4 billion shares changed hands on
the three major equity exchanges, a number that was certainly below the
daily average of around 6.76 billion shares.
Less Hiring According to ADP
According to an ADP National Employment Report
released Wednesday morning, companies hired the fewest people in seven
months during the month of April, a worrisome sign for a labor market
that has struggled to gain traction and adding to concerns that the
economy has lost some momentum. The ADP report indicated that the private sector
added 119,000 jobs last month, below economists' expectations for a gain
of 177,000 jobs. The March figure was also revised lower. The report comes two days before the government's
broader and much-watched monthly jobs report. Recent data, including softer labor market figures,
have fueled fears that the economy may have lost some strength as the
second quarter got under way. Those worries were partly offset by data
from an industry group on Tuesday that showed a better-than-expected
pick-up in the manufacturing sector last month. However, government data on Wednesday showed new
orders for factory goods suffered their biggest decline in three years
in March as demand for transportation equipment and a range of other
goods dried up. Domestic economic growth has been seen as
increasingly important to offset slack elsewhere in the world. The euro
zone on Wednesday reported another contraction in its factory sector. In China, factory activity contracted again in
April, although at a slower rate, hinting at stabilization in the
world's second-largest economy. The day's data helped take U.S. stocks down about
0.5 percent in midday trading, while Treasuries prices rose and the euro
fell against the dollar. Yet, despite the weak numbers in the ADP report
on private-sector hiring, some analysts and economists were cautious on
whether the data indicates a trend in the labor market. In a conference call with journalists, Joel Prakken
at Macroeconomic Advisers, which jointly develops the employment report
with payrolls processor ADP, said the unusually warm winter months were
partly to blame for the weakness in ADP report as employers had moved
their hiring up to earlier in the year. The evidence suggests private-sector employment was
boosted by as much as 70,000 in the winter months, Prakken said. "It does play into this notion that the numbers over
the winter ... probably weren't quite as strong as the reports
indicated, and this number today probably is not as soft as it appears
on the surface," Prakken said on a conference call with journalists. The manufacturing sector shed 5,000 jobs, the first
loss since September of last year, the report showed. That was in
contrast to data on Tuesday that showed a gauge of employment in the
sector rose to its highest level since last June.
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MarketView for May 2
MarketView for Wednesday, May 2