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MarketView
Events defining the day's trading activity on Wall Street
Lauren Rudd
Friday, March 14, 2014
Summary
Wall Street was lower on Friday with all three major
stock indexes down for the week, as concerns over tensions between
Ukraine and Russia escalated ahead of a referendum in Crimea this
weekend. The S&P 500 index ended below a key technical support level of
1,850 for the second day. The index also ended down 2 percent for the
week, its biggest weekly loss since late January. Moscow sent additional troops and armor into Crimea
on Friday and repeated its threat to invade other parts of Ukraine in
response to violence in Donetsk on Thursday night despite Western
demands to pull back. Global equity markets were pressured, while gold and
the yen strengthened as investors moved to what many consider to be
safe-haven assets. The CBOE Volatility index VIX . rose 9.9 percent to
17.82. A key emerging market exchange-traded fund, the
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF was up 0.5 percent to $38.40 after
falling nearly 2 percent in the previous session. Following the recent selloff in emerging markets,
some market participants believe now is the time to get into emerging
market equities, but analysts are wary. For the week, the Dow fell 2.35 percent, the S&P
dropped 1.97 percent and the Nasdaq lost 2.1 percent. In economic news, producer prices fell 0.1 percent
in February, dragged down by falling costs for services, offering little
sign of inflation pressures. Consumer sentiment fell in early March as
an unusually harsh winter appeared to dim views on the economy's
prospects. General Mills was down 2.4 percent to $49.77. It
forecast third-quarter earnings below Street expectations as it faces
increased competition from store brands and spends more on marketing its
yogurts. Aeropostale was down 20.1 percent to $5.83. The teen
apparel retailer reported its fifth straight quarterly loss. Cooper Tire
& Rubber rose 6.7 percent to $24.36 after reporting fourth-quarter
earnings ahead of Street estimates. Approximately 6.7 billion shares changed hands on
the major equity exchanges, according to BATS Global Markets, a number
that was below the 6.9 billion share average so far this month.
Consumer Sentiment Down as are Producer Prices
Consumer sentiment weakened in early March as an
unusually harsh winter appeared to dim views on the economy's prospects. The preliminary Thomson Reuters/University of
Michigan index of consumer sentiment fell to 79.9 in March from 81.6 the
prior month, a survey showed on Friday. The Street had been expecting sentiment to improve.
The concern is that the weak tone of the report could be a sign that
severe weather had put consumers in the doldrums. That would back the
view that the economy was only temporarily stuck in a soft patch and
would resume stronger growth once the weather improves. Parts of the United States have suffered
colder-than-normal temperatures and blizzards over the winter, which may
have contributed to several months of weak hiring. If weather is the
culprit, then the Federal Reserve can feel more confident about
continuing the winding down of a bond-buying stimulus program. The Fed
started trimming monthly bond purchases in January. The sentiment index was at its lowest level since
November. It was largely dragged down by a dip in consumer expectations
for future growth. There were some signs of strength in the report.
Those polled expected the highest rate of annual income gains since
November 2008. A separate report from the Labor Department pointed
in the opposite direction with regard to inflation, as a decline in U.S.
producer prices in February suggested little building of inflationary
pressure. The government's seasonally adjusted producer price index for
final demand dropped 0.1 percent last month. On its own, the price data would make policymakers
feel more comfortable holding interest rates near zero for many more
months. Inflation has held at a very low level in recent years because
of a persistently high unemployment rate. The value of the dollar slipped against the yen
following the price data's publication, suggesting investors felt the
report buttressed the view that the Fed would hold interest rates
extremely low into next year. Final demand for goods rose 0.4 percent in February.
Final demand for services dropped 0.3 percent. The Labor Department said
about 80 percent of the decline in its services index was due to lower
margins for retailers of apparel, footwear and accessories. In the 12 months through February, producer prices
increased 0.9 percent, the smallest one-year gain since May 2013. Producer prices excluding volatile food and energy
costs fell 0.2 percent. Another gauge of core producer prices - final
demand less foods, energy, and trade services - nudged up 0.1 percent.
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MarketView for March 14
MarketView for Friday, March 14