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MarketView
Events defining the day's trading activity on Wall Street
Lauren Rudd
Monday, June 2, 2014
Summary
The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500
indexes ended the day on Monday at record highs once again after a
closely watched read on U.S. manufacturing was revised to show more
strength than initially indicated. Industrials and material stocks were
among the day's best performers, while the technology sector ended
lower, weighed down by big names like Apple and Google. After hours of confusion, the Institute for Supply
Management officially corrected its earlier report to show that the pace
of growth in the U.S. manufacturing sector accelerated in May. Wall
Street fell initially after the first report, with all 10 S&P 500 sector
indexes down for the day at one point. The ISM said its index of national factory activity
rose to 55.4 last month from 54.9 in April. The ISM had initially said
the reading came in at 53.2, but it was corrected due to an error in
applying the seasonal adjustments. The Dow ended at a second consecutive record high
while the S&P 500 closed at a third consecutive record though volume was
still slight, suggesting a lack of conviction behind the advance The CBOE Volatility Index gained 1.6 percent but was
still near the lows not seen since March 2013. That level has many,
including Federal Reserve officials, concerned that the market is
complacent. Apple fell 0.7 percent to $628.65 after the tech
giant introduced new operating systems for its Mac computers and mobile
devices at its annual Worldwide Developers’ Conference. Google also pressured tech shares, falling 1.3
percent to $564.34. A censorship watchdog said Google's services were
being disrupted in China ahead of this week's 25th anniversary of the
1989 crackdown on pro-democracy demonstrators around Beijing's Tiananmen
Square. Broadcom was the S&P 500's largest percentage
gainer, ending the day up 9.3 percent to $34.84 after the company
indicated it was looking to sell or wind down its cellular baseband
business. Ariad Pharmaceuticals rose 4 percent to $6.94 in
heavy volume a day after the company said its drug ponatinib showed
anti-tumor activity in patients with advanced gastrointestinal stromal
tumors. Approximately 4.68 billion shares changed hands on
the major equity exchanges, a number that was below last month's average
of 5.75 billion shares, according to data from BATS Global Markets.
Manufacturing Surprises The manufacturing sector expanded in May at a faster
clip than previously seen, an industry report showed on Monday.
According to financial data firm Markit, its final Manufacturing
Purchasing Mangers’ Index rose to 56.4 in May from 55.4 in April, and
following a preliminary reading of 56.2. Readings above 50 indicate
expansion in the sector. "The survey puts the sector on course to provide a
substantial boost to gross domestic product in the second quarter, and
therefore adds to signs that the economy has enjoyed a strong revival
after shrinking due to the adverse weather at the start of the year,"
said Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit. "But this is not simply a weather-related rebound,"
he said, adding that companies are "feeling more confident, restocking,
expanding and investing." The output sub-index was the highest since February
2011, coming in at 59.6, unchanged from the preliminary and above
April's 58.2. The employment subindex was unchanged from April at 53.7
after showing a dip to 53.5 in the preliminary report.
Manufacturing Grows Says ISM The pace of growth in the manufacturing sector
accelerated in May, the Institute for Supply Management reported on
Monday. According to the report, the index of national factory activity
rose to 55.4 last month from 54.9 in April. ISM had initially said the
reading came in at 53.2, but it was corrected due to an error in
applying the seasonal adjustments. A reading above 50 indicates
expansion. The employment sub-index fell to 52.8 in May from
54.7 the prior month, while the gauge of new orders rose to 56.9 from
55.1.
ISM Corrects May Data The Institute for Supply Management corrected its
key manufacturing activity index for May to 55.4, nearly in line with
expectations, after economists on Monday said the original release's
reading of 53.2 was incorrect. The report initially suggested a weakening in the
pace of factory-sector growth, but economists, including Stone &
McCarthy Research Associates, said seasonal adjustments appeared to have
been incorrectly applied to the figures. It took ISM nearly three hours to issue an official
statement revising the data. CNBC initially reported the correction
would be to a reading of 56. The 55.4 figure was in line with what Stone
& McCarthy said it should be after running the numbers themselves after
the initial 10 a.m. EDT (1400 GMT) release. Kenneth Kim, economist at Stone & McCarthy in
Princeton, New Jersey, said he took the numbers from ISM’s website but
found that his result “wasn’t adding up to their reported figures.” He then ran the calculations using the seasonal
adjustment factor applied to April's report, not May's, and the numbers
were the same as those reported. ISM later said in a statement the error was caused
"when the software incorrectly used the seasonal adjustment factor from
the previous month." The weaker-than-expected initial report weighed on
stocks and helped bond prices, while cutting into the U.S. dollar's
gains. After chatter of a correction started making the rounds,
investors sold U.S. Treasuries, boosting the yield to a high of about
2.54 percent on the changed data. Sub-indexes in the report on new
orders and employment were also higher than initially reported.
Construction Spending Reaches 5-Year High The Commerce Department reported on Monday that
construction reached its highest level since March 2009 during April,
increasing 0.2 percent to an annual rate of $953.5 billion. Spending in
April was led by public construction outlays, which rose 0.8 percent.
Spending on both federal government and state and local government
projects increased solidly. While the increase was less than economists'
expectations for a 0.6 percent gain, March's construction spending was
revised to show a 0.6 percent rise instead of the previously reported
0.2 percent advance. But spending on private construction projects was
flat as a 0.1 percent rise on residential outlays was offset by a 0.1
percent dip in nonresidential projects.
Still, private residential construction spending hit
its highest level since March 2008. There were increases in both single
and multi-family home building, a hopeful sign for housing, which is
struggling to find momentum. A run-up in mortgage rates has stymied the housing
market recovery. Investment in home building and nonresidential
structures such as factories and gas pipelines contracted in the first
three months of this year for a second straight quarter.
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MarketView for June 2
MarketView for Monday, June 2