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MarketView
Events defining the day's trading activity on Wall Street
Lauren Rudd
Tuesday, July 16, 2013
Summary
The S&P 500 ended its eight-day winning streak on
Tuesday as concerns rose over disappointing
sales from Coca-Cola, and the usual unknowns regarding
the upcoming congressional
testimony by Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, which begins on Wednesday. The
market's pullback came a day after both the Dow Jones Industrial Average
and the S&P 500 indexes ended at record closing highs for the third
consecutive session. Coca-Cola was the largest drag in terms of points on
the S&P 500 after the world's largest soft drink manufacturer reported
weaker-than-expected second-quarter sales, which it blamed on economic
malaise and unusually cold and wet weather. The stock, which was the
Dow's biggest percentage loser, fell 1.9 percent to $40.23. Wall Street is eager to hear Federal Reserve
Chairman Ben Bernanke's testimony about monetary policy on Wednesday
before the House Financial Services Committee. His comments will be
closely analyzed for signs of when the central bank may start reducing
its stimulus efforts. Bernanke's comments in late May, which raised the
prospect of trimming the Fed's $85 billion in monthly stimulus,
triggered a brief selloff and interrupted this year's rally. The S&P 500
is still up 17.5 percent since December 31. The day's economic data indicated that consumer
prices picked up in June. The overall CPI increased 0.5 percent, the
largest gain since February, after inching up 0.1 percent in May. U.S.
homebuilder confidence rose in July to its strongest level in 7-1/2
years. Financial stocks, which started the day as
outperformers, also dropped despite strong earnings from Goldman Sachs.
The S&P financial sector index fell 0.4 percent. Goldman Sachs reported quarterly profit doubled as
the bank made more money trading bonds before an interest-rate spike hit
markets in June. But Goldman's stock slid 1.7 percent to $160.24 as
investors fretted that the results could not be easily repeated. In other earnings reports, Johnson & Johnson shares
were flat at $90.40 after the Dow component reported
higher-than-expected second-quarter earnings. Strong sales of
prescription drugs and medical devices more than offset anemic growth of
its consumer products, Johnson & Johnson said. Analysts expect S&P 500 companies' second-quarter
earnings to have grown 3 percent from a year earlier, with revenue up
1.5 percent, data from Thomson Reuters showed. Shares of Tesla Motors fell 14.3 percent to $109.05
after Goldman Sachs set a new price target far below the stock's current
trading price. After the bell, shares of Yahoo fell 2.7 percent to
close at $26.15 following the release of its results. In Tuesday's
regular session, Yahoo shares fell 1.7 percent to $26.88. The day's volume was well below the average daily
closing volume for the year with about 6.4 billion shares changing hands
on the three major exchanges.
CPI Hits 0.5 Percent
Consumer prices picked up in June and underlying
inflation pressures showing signs of stabilizing, keeping on course
expectations the Federal Reserve will start reducing its bond purchases
later this year. While inflation remains benign, the increase last
month should help ease worries among some Fed officials that price
pressures in the economy were too low. The Labor Department reported on Tuesday that its
Consumer Price Index increased 0.5 percent, the largest gain since
February, after nudging up 0.1 percent in May. A 6.3 percent surge in
gasoline prices accounted for about two thirds of the increase. In the
12 months through June, the CPI advanced 1.8 percent, an acceleration
from the 1.4 percent logged in the period through May and the largest
increase since February. Stripping out energy and food, consumer prices
increased 0.2 percent for a second straight month. That took the
increase over the past 12 months to 1.6 percent, the smallest rise since
June 2011. The core CPI had gained 1.7 percent in May. Although both inflation measures remain below the
Federal Reserve's 2 percent target, the report showed signs of fading
disinflation pressures, with medical care costs increasing after being
subdued for the past two months. Prices for new motor vehicles, apparel
and household furnishings also rose. The signs of stabilization offered by the monthly
core measure fit in with Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's assessment that a
downward drift in the inflation rate was temporary. Bernanke said last month the central bank would
likely later this year start cutting back the $85 billion in bonds it is
purchasing each month to keep borrowing costs low. Economists expect the
Fed to begin reducing the amount in September. While the year-on-year core CPI rate could slip
further in coming months, reversing course as economic growth
accelerates over the last half of the year. That optimism about the
economy's prospects was bolstered by a separate report from the Fed
showing output at the nation's factories, mines and utilities rose 0.3
percent in June after a flat reading in May. The increase reflected a 0.3 percent rise in
manufacturing output and suggests some pickup in economic activity at
the end of the second quarter. Growth in the April-June period is
forecast at an annual pace of between 0.5 percent and 1.0 percent, far
below the first-quarter's 1.8 percent rate. Another report on Tuesday indicated confidence among
single-family home builders soared to a 7-1/2 year high in July, amid
expectations of stronger sales and buyer traffic. Last month, owners' equivalent rent, which accounts
for about a third of the core CPI, increased 0.2 percent after a similar
gain in May. Apparel prices recorded their largest increase in nearly
two years, while new motor vehicle prices rose after being flat in May. Medical care services rose 0.4 percent, the largest
increase in a year. Medical care, which makes up about 10 percent of the
core CPI, had been subdued in April and May. The cost of medical care
commodities rebounded 0.5 percent, reversing the prior month's decline,
as the price of prescription drugs increased. Tame medical care costs have been one of the key
contributors to the low inflation rate over the past months. There are a number of reasons for the lack of
pressure on health care costs, ranging from the expiration of patents on
several popular prescription drugs to government spending cuts that have
cut payments to doctors and hospitals for Medicare.
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MarketView for July 16
MarketView for Tuesday, July 16