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MarketView
Events defining the day's trading activity on Wall Street
Lauren Rudd
Wednesday, January 25, 2012
Summary
Unexpectedly higher earnings from Apple, and a promise from the Federal
Reserve to keep rock-bottom interest rates for at least two more years,
sent share prices marketedly higher on Wednesday. Buying activity also increased as a result of the Federal Reserve
indicating that it
would keep interest rates near zero at least through 2014, which was
longer than the Street had anticipated. The actions were taken as a sign
of the central bank's commitment to add life to a sluggish economic recovery. The Fed also took an historic step of setting an
inflation target of 2 percent, which brings the U.S. central bank in
line with many of the world's other central banks that use an explicit
benchmark for policy. Apple was a standout in what has otherwise been a
fairly lackluster earnings season. So far, 57 percent of companies
reporting have beaten forecasts, while at this stage in past earnings
seasons, the beat rate averaged 70 percent. Apple shares hit an all-time high of $454.45 on
results issued after Tuesday's market close that sailed past
expectations. The move higher pushed Apple's market capitalization above
that of Exxon Mobil, making it the largest publicly held domestic
corporation. In other earnings news, video rental company Netflix
reported results that outpaced Wall Street's expectations, sending
shares up about 13 percent to $107.28 in extended trade. Earlier in regular trading session, both United
Technologies and Rockwell Automation saw their share prices fall after
slightly missing revenue forecasts. United was down 0.2 percent at
$77.65, while Rockwell ended the day down 2.9 percent at $79.42. Textron rose 14.6 percent to $24.76 after it
increased its 2012 profit forecast. Corning fell 10.7 percent to close
at $13.05 as manufacturers cut back on the production of big-screen
televisions that use the company's specialty glass. Greece was hoping to reach a deal with its
bondholders as talks were set to resume this week to avoid a messy
default. Such an outcome could threaten the stability of other
debt-laden members of the euro zone as well as the global economy. About 7.9 billion shares changed hands on the three
major exchanges, a number that was higher than this year's 6.7 billion
share average.
The Fed May Have More in Store Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said on
Wednesday the central bank was ready to offer the economy additional
stimulus after it announced it would likely keep interest rates near
zero until at least late 2014. The Fed also took the historic step of
adopting an explicit inflation target, though Bernanke took pains to
stress that officials would be flexible about reining in price growth
when unemployment was too high. The late 2014 timeframe for the first rate hike was
considerably later than investors had expected and some 18 months later
than the Fed had suggested last year, and the announcement prompted a
rally in U.S. government bonds. Speaking at a news conference after a
two-day policy meeting, Bernanke was cautious about recent improvements
in the U.S. economy, and he left the door open to further Fed bond
purchases. "I don't think we're ready to declare that we've
entered a new, stronger phase at this point," Bernanke said. "If the
situation continues with inflation below target and unemployment
declining at a rate which is very, very slow, then ... the logic of our
framework says we should be looking for ways to do more." In response to the deepest recession in generations,
the Fed reduced the overnight federal funds rate to near zero in
December 2008. It has also more than tripled the size of its balance
sheet to around $2.9 trillion through two separate bond purchase
programs. The policy is credited with preventing an even more
devastating downturn, but it has been insufficient to bring unemployment
down to levels considered normal during good economic times. Many Fed
watchers expected a further round of bond buying, likely focusing on
mortgage debt. Fed officials agreed that a goal of 2 percent
inflation would be in keeping with their congressional mandate of price
stability. By their favorite measure, core inflation is running at about
1.7 percent. They declined to announce a target for unemployment,
stating that the job market was often influenced by forces beyond their
control. In another key shift touted as part of an effort
toward greater transparency, the Fed for the first time published
policymakers' projections for the appropriate path of the benchmark
overnight federal funds rate. These showed a wide range of views, from
the three of 17 policymakers who said they thought rates should rise
this year to two who want to hold off on any increase until 2016. Still,
the largest concentration of estimates - five of 17 - was around 2014. In its announcement, the Fed repeated its view that
the economy faced "significant downside risks" - an expression that has
become code for the threat Europe's debt crisis poses to the United
States. In economic forecasts accompanying the rate
projections, the Fed pointed to somewhat weaker economic growth this
year and next, compared with estimates published in November. Meanwhile,
the unemployment rate, which hit 8.5 percent in December, was seen
coming down only slowly. Economic conditions "are likely to warrant
exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate at least through
late 2014," the central bank said. After every previous policy meeting
dating to August, the Fed had said rates were not likely to rise until
mid-2013. Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Jeffrey
Lacker, an inflation hawk who rotated into a voting panel seat this
year, dissented against the policy decision, preferring to omit the
late-2014 date from the Fed's post-meeting statement. The central bank appeared more sanguine on inflation
than it had after its last meeting in December, saying prices were
likely to run close to or just below its target. The statement dropped a
reference to the Fed monitoring inflation and inflation expectations. Aside from the 2014 rate pledge, the statement hewed
closely to the Fed's last policy pronouncement in mid-December. It
described the unemployment rate as still elevated and, in a slight
shift, acknowledged a slowing in business investment.
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MarketView for January 25
MarketView for Wednesday, January 25