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MarketView
Events defining the day's trading activity on Wall Street
Lauren Rudd
Friday, January 8, 2010
Summary
Share prices were slightly higher once again on
Friday after trading in the negative territory for most of the day after
the Street decided that the weak December jobs data wouldn't interrupt a
trend of steady economic recovery. Both the Dow Jones industrial average
and the S&P 500 indexes reached new 15-month highs while the Nasdaq
climbed to its highest level in 16 months. What this meant is that
Friday closed out a strong week for equities with the S&P 500 hitting
higher closing numbers for all five sessions. For the week the Dow rose
1.8 percent, the S&P added 2.7 percent, while the Nasdaq rose 2 percent. Unfortunately, the economy still saw a loss of 85,000
jobs in December, according to the Labor Department. However, an
occasional loss on the way to recovery is not inconsistent with a slowly
recovering economy as the pace of monthly jobs losses have declined
sharply since the height of the recession. In addition, November's
payrolls report was revised to a gain in jobs, bolstering that view. The
weaker report is also supportive of the view that Federal Reserve will
keep interest rates low for a prolonged period, which is favorable for
stocks. Helping out the markets was an announcement by United
Parcel Service indicating that the company had raised its fourth-quarter
outlook but that it planned to reduce employment by 1,800 jobs. Its
shares rose nearly 5 percent and increased the expectation that we will
see another quarter of strong corporate earnings when Alcoa Inc kicks
off the reporting season on Monday. The news from UPS also helped out
Fedex, whose shares rose 2.5 percent to $84.99, and sent the Dow Jones
Transportation average to a gain of 1.8 percent. Both UPS and FedEx are
economic bellwethers because they reflect trends in business and
consumer spending. Biotechnology companies were among top gainers on the
Nasdaq. Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd gained 4.4 percent to $59.34
a day after the world's largest generic pharmaceutical company set a
revenue target for 2015 of $31 billion, more than double its current
annual amount. Genzyme advanced for a second day on rumors that
billionaire investor Carl Icahn was considering a proxy battle at the
biotech company. Genzyme closed up 5.2 percent at $53.81 after a 4.4
percent rise on Thursday. Morgan Stanley began following the healthcare
services sector with an 'attractive' view. Part of that call included an
'overweight' rating for Express Scripts, which rose 3.4 percent to
$91.65. Wall Street will now turn its attention to reports on
fourth-quarter earnings, which starts with Alcoa after the bell on
Monday. Since the start of the year, the Street has revised upward its
earnings estimates for seven out of ten S&P sectors.
Unemployment Rate Unchanged
Employers unexpectedly cut 85,000 jobs in December,
cooling optimism on the labor market's recovery and keeping pressure on
President Barack Obama to find ways to spur job growth. According to the
Labor Department said on Friday that November payrolls were revised to
show the economy actually added 4,000 jobs rather than losing 11,000 as
initially reported, breaking a streak of consecutive losses that dates
back to December 2007. With revisions to October, however, the economy
lost 1,000 more jobs than previously estimated over the two months. The unemployment rate was unchanged at 10 percent in
December, but that reflected a surprisingly large number of people
leaving the labor force. High unemployment is one of the toughest
domestic challenges facing Obama. The administration's success in
getting people back to work will shape prospects for Obama's political
future. "We're going to have to work harder to create more
jobs," Labor Secretary Hilda Solis told Bloomberg TV. "The president
will outline more tax credits for small business because they are the
engine of growth." Unemployment remains the Achilles heel of the
economic recovery, which started in the third quarter of 2009 following
the worst recession in 70 years. Creating jobs is critical to sustaining
the economic recovery when government stimulus fades. For the whole of 2009, the economy shed 4.2 million
jobs, according to the Labor Department's survey of employers. The
department's survey of households offered an even gloomier assessment of
the job market, showing that 661,000 people left the work force last
month. So it was no surprise that the broadest measure of unemployment,
which includes discouraged workers and those working part-time for
economic reasons, rose to 17.3 percent from 17.2 percent in the prior
month. The payrolls report, which is viewed by most
economists as the more reliable gauge of the labor market's health,
suggested a broad trend toward improvement was still intact.
Professional and business services added 50,000 positions, while
education and health services increased payrolls by 35,000. Temporary help employment rose 47,000, continuing an
upward trend that shows a reluctance among employers to hire full-time
workers but that suggests they may need to soon. Manufacturing payrolls fell 27,000 after dropping
35,000 in November. The construction sector lost 53,000 jobs, while the
service-providing sector shed only 4,000 workers. The average workweek
was unchanged at 33.2 hours, while average hourly earnings increased by
$18.80 from $18.77 in November. The state of the job market is among the key factors
that will determine the timing of the Fed's first interest rate increase
since cutting benchmark overnight borrowing costs to near zero percent
in December 2008. The Fed has vowed to keep rates low for an extended
period.
2.3 Billion In Clean Energy Tax Credits to Help
Unemployment President Barack Obama unveiled a $2.3 billion tax
credit on Friday to help reduce the unemployment situation by promoting
clean energy, as new data showed the country's unemployment rate
remained in double digits. Obama said the credit, from funds earmarked under a
$787 billion stimulus package he signed last February, would create
17,000 jobs and be matched by an additional $5 billion in private
capital. "Building a robust clean energy sector is how we will
create the jobs of the future, jobs that pay well and can't be
outsourced," Obama said. "This initiative is good for middle-class
families. It is good for our security. It is good for our planet," he
said. "The jobs numbers that were released by the Labor
Department this morning are a reminder that the road to recovery is
never straight," Obama said. Climate change, alongside healthcare and
financial regulation reform, is a core goal of Obama's White House. The tax credits have been granted to 183 projects
across the country involved in technologies that include solar, wind and
other initiatives to improve energy efficiency. On top of the employment resulting directly from the
tax credit, Obama said it would lead to "tens of thousands" of
additional new jobs. According to the White House the previously allocated
stimulus money have helped to prevent the deepest recession in 70 years
from getting any worse. The White House has also renewed its push to
increase job creation, which certainly warrants additional public
spending. The House of Representatives has approved an
additional $155 billion jobs package to boost hiring, although the
Senate has yet to take up its version of the legislation and will first
tackle healthcare reforms. Companies that will benefit from the clean energy tax
credit include Itron in Liberty Lake, Washington, PPG Industries in
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania and TPI Composites in Scottsdale, Arizona.
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MarketView for January 8
MarketView for Friday, January 8