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MarketView
Events defining the day's trading activity on Wall Street
Lauren Rudd
Monday, April 9, 2012
Summary
It was not a great day on Wall Street on Monday; not
that it was unexpected. In fact, you could almost say that it was a
self-fulfilling prophesy. Nonetheless, by the closing bell the Dow Jones
Industrial Average and the S&P 500 indexes had extended their losses to
a fourth consecutive da. The cause of all the dismay was last week's
disappointing jobs report, which raised fresh concerns over the
possibility that the economy's recovery may be at a temporary plateau,
or even worse, falling backward. Yet, despite Monday's declines, the Dow
and the S&P 500 both ended the day’s trading activity above their
session lows. Banks and industrials led the S&P 500's slide, with
the S&P financial sector index and the S&P industrial sector index each
down 1.6 percent. The two sectors are closely tied to the prospects for
economic growth. The latest jobs figures added to a series of
weaker-than-expected indicators, which have taken the edge off a strong
multi-month rally. As a result, the CBOE Volatility Index or VIX rose
12.63 percent on Monday to end at 18.81. The VIX is up about 21.4
percent so far in April. Stocks have rallied sharply in recent months, with
the S&P 500 climbing nearly 30 percent from its early October closing
low to end at nearly a four-year high a week ago. Volume was extremely light, with about 5.52 billion
shares changing hands on the three best known equity exchanges, a number
that was well below last year's daily average of 7.84 billion shares. The S&P 500 slid on Monday to a session low at
1,378.24, its lowest point in more than three weeks. But the benchmark
index recovered some of that lost ground in afternoon trading and held
well above its 50-day moving average near 1,371. In addition to the jobs numbers released last week,
China's surprisingly soft producer prices data sparked concerns about
waning demand in the world's second-largest economy. The country's March
PPI data reinforced expectations that a cooling economy has eclipsed
inflation as the Chinese government's biggest near-term worry. Non-farm payrolls added 120,000 jobs in March, far
below the forecast gain of 203,000 jobs, according to Labor Department
data released on Friday, a market holiday. The unemployment rate slipped
to 8.2 percent in March from February's 8.3 percent. The payrolls report
cast doubts on the United States' ability to help bolster the global
economy as Europe's debt crisis resurfaces and worries remain whether
China's economy will avoid a hard landing. But at the same time, it
renewed hopes for more monetary stimulus from the Federal Reserve. AOL ended the day up 43.3 percent to close at
$26.40, touching a lifetime high of $27.47 earlier in the session after
the Internet company said it would sell more than 800 of its patents and
related applications to Microsoft, and grant Microsoft a non-exclusive
license to patents it retains for slightly over $1 billion in cash.
Microsoft, a Dow component, lost 1.3 percent to $31.10. Following last week's modest losses, the S&P 500's
key near-term support levels were 1,375 to 1,380, which were its
resistance levels in late February. Earnings will be the key to the Street’s activity
this week as we move solidly into the upcoming earnings season.
Google and JPMorgan Chase are
scheduled to report results. Alcoa will, as is traditionally the case,
be the first Dow component to report results, with earnings due out
after Tuesday's closing bell. Molina Healthcare closed down 26.7 percent to $25.65
after the health insurer said its Medicaid contract in Ohio would not be
renewed.
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MarketView for April 9
MarketView for Monday, April 9